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Nifty slumped as India pressed the panic button over the Hormuz blockade; USDINR surged

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  ●       India may face stagflation (higher unemployment, higher cost of living , and lower GDP growth) in the coming days if the Hormuz blockade lingers. ●       Modi’s clarion call for no buying of gold may actually result in more physical panic buying by HNIs. ●   Even after nullifying bonus/equity dilution effects of HDFC Bank and RIL, Nifty EPS may scale 1000 levels by FY27 , and in that scenario, 22000/20000-17000/15000 may be a base-worst-case scenario (22/20-17/15 PE); average 5Y EPS CAGR is below 10%. India’s benchmark stock index, Nifty, slumped on Monday, May 11, 2026, on fading hopes of an imminent Iran war permanent cease-fire deal and the continuing double blockade of the Strait of Hormuz (SOH)—affecting fuel, fertilizer, and food & other commodity prices globally as well as locally. On May 10, 2026, Indian PM Modi virtually pressed the panic button in a political rally in AP (Andhra Pradesh) by urging Indian...
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Will Trump Chicken Out and Make an MOU with Iran before the China Visit?

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  ●       Wall Street soared to a lifetime high on TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) trade amid hopes of a US-Iran peace deal MOU. ●       Ahead of the Nov’26 mid-term election,  chaotic Trump is in a dilemma as any ‘undue’ concessions to Iran may cost him ‘MAGA’ support. ●       But too much hard stance & the SOH double blockade and higher oil may cost him the midterm and trifecta . As of May 6, 2026, US-Iran indirect negotiations (through Pakistan) have entered a decisive phase, with Iran expected to deliver its formal response today to a US-drafted one-page memorandum aimed at ending the early 2026 Iran War. Mediated primarily by Pakistan, the talks come amid cautious optimism from President Trump and mounting international pressure to resolve the crisis that has crippled navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. (SOH). Trump has described “very good talks” over the past 24 hours, while Saudi-based...
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