US stocks and gold wobbled on hotter-than-expected inflation and bargain hunting in AI stocks
Overall underlying core inflation (CPI+PCE) was above 3.0% and may scale to 3.50% by Q1CY27. The Fed may hike only 0.25% rather than 0.50% as another insurance hike and wait for Trump’s actual policy post Jan '27 (under the lame-duck presidency). Trump is a known source of supply chain disruption—be it a trade war or an Iran war—and if Trump does not correct himself, he may cause synchronized global stagflation or even an all-out recession. On November 10, apart from Trump & Co’s ongoing ‘Reality Shows’ (insane idiotic circus) over midterm washout, the focus of the market was also on U.S. inflation data for October. The US CPI measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services, such as food, transportation, and shelter. Core CPI excludes the volatile food and energy categories to provide a clearer view of underlying inflation trends. For October '26, BLS already announced in advance that it will no...